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Holding out
Plumber
Physically awkward, highly variable, urgently needed — a strong human moat.
Replacement risk
14%
Mostly gone by
2046
Runway left
20 yrs
Mostly stays the same
The ten-question breakdown
Each factor is scored 0–100. Higher means easier to automate.
Scoring the ten factors for this job…
What you can do now
- Specialise in heat pumps and green heating systems
- Add commercial and compliance certifications
- Build a service business with strong local demand
Where to move next
- Heating engineer
- Facilities technician
- Contractor