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Which Jobs Will AI Replace? Compare Risk Across Careers
Explore every scored profession, grouped by how soon AI and automation are expected to change its work. The catalogue’s average replacement risk is 61%, but that average hides important differences between routine digital tasks and work requiring physical skill, professional accountability or human trust.
How to read the job groups
The catalogue groups professions by their forecast timing of change, helping you compare roles expected to face disruption sooner with those expected to change later. Each forecast uses a 10-factor rubric: routine tasks, digital work, training data, error tolerance, regulation, physical dexterity, human trust, cost to automate, technology maturity and institutional barriers.
Read the timing group alongside the replacement-risk score. A score is not a countdown to redundancy or a guarantee about your employer. Jobs can change through automated tasks, redesigned responsibilities and reduced hiring without disappearing entirely.
Why some jobs face automation sooner
Telemarketer (97%), Data Entry Clerk (96%) and Transcriptionist (95%) lead the risk rankings. Their work often involves repeatable digital inputs and outputs that dialling software, document-processing tools and speech recognition can handle. Customer Support Agent (Tier 1) (92%), Bookkeeper (91%) and Proofreader (90%) also contain substantial routine work.
Hairdresser (12%), Plumber (14%) and Electrician (15%) rank lower because hands-on work in varied physical settings is harder to automate. Social Worker (16%), Nurse (18%) and Surgeon (20%) combine human trust, consequential decisions and professional accountability. Lower risk does not mean their paperwork or supporting tools will stay unchanged.
Use the catalogue to plan a career move
Start with your current profession, then compare nearby roles that use skills you already have. A bookkeeper might investigate work involving financial controls, exception handling and client advice; a support agent might explore complex troubleshooting or customer onboarding. Check each destination’s forecast rather than assuming a new title means lower risk.
Next, read job adverts and speak to people doing the work. Look for responsibilities involving judgement, relationships, accountability or varied physical tasks. Before committing to retraining, check entry requirements, licensing, local demand and training costs. Learning to verify AI output can also strengthen your current role.
Questions people ask
- Which jobs are most at risk of AI replacement?
- In this catalogue, Telemarketer (97%), Data Entry Clerk (96%) and Transcriptionist (95%) have the highest replacement-risk scores. Customer Support Agent (Tier 1), Bookkeeper and Proofreader also rank among the most exposed because much of their work is routine and digital.
- What jobs can't AI replace?
- No forecast can guarantee that a job will never be replaced. Hairdresser, Plumber, Electrician, Social Worker, Nurse and Surgeon are the catalogue’s lowest-risk professions, with barriers including physical dexterity, human trust and accountability.
- Does a 61% average replacement risk mean most jobs will disappear?
- No. The 61% figure is the average replacement-risk score across the catalogue, not a prediction that 61% of workers will lose their jobs. Use individual forecasts to understand differences between professions and the tasks likely to change.
- Should I change careers because of AI?
- Treat automation risk as a reason to investigate, not as an instruction to quit. Compare your actual responsibilities with lower-risk roles, then weigh transferable skills, retraining requirements and local opportunities before making a move.